TeachTalkTrade.com
Member Login View Cart Checkout



XML-Sitemap
Valid XHTML 1.0 Strict
Valid CSS
Valid RSS

RSS Applied


 

Teach Talk Trade Day Trading & Technical Analysis

Bookmark Subscribe

Probabilities and the Traders Edge

If you have ever been to a casino, you will see that they do not go out of business. Why?, they have an edge. They have a system with probabilities in their favor. The casinos know that they will take in X number of cents per every dollar spent. They know the risk and they have the money management system, deep pockets, to handle any large losses. The casinos know that over the long run they will take in X cents per dollar spent. This is not gambling for them, it is playing the odds and probabilities. The Casinos know that the more money they can bring in the door, the more money they will take in as profits.

In trading, the trader is the casino owner. Lets suppose that you develop a system that fits your style and wins 60% of the time, making $150.00 on each of these trades. You also lose $75.00 40% of the time on those trades. On average your profit for every trade you put on is $60.00. As long as the trader can maintain these ratios, his edge, he will make, on average, $60.00 every time he executes a trade. Now if someone just said to you I have a system that produces winners 60% of the time, you probably would not be too excited about this systems. Now knowing the additional facts as seen above, you would be very excited I am guessing.

The process of developing a system like this is the key! Teach Talk Trade is here to educate you in all aspects of trading like this. If you are confident and know the probabilities, then you will be confident in making the trades and will eliminate the fear in trading. It will allow you to manage the trade according to your plan without fear creeping in and making you alter your trading plan. Fear will make you second guess yourself and your online trading plan and greed will make you feel invincible and alter your trading plan thinking you have some sort of control over the markets.

Please take advantage of the FREE 7 DAY TRIAL to The Morning Call ( we discuss 21 futures, ETF’s, E-minis, NASDAQ & Solar & Alternative Energy issues ) & The Mechanical Monkey where we discuss our mechanical trades.

Relevant Tags:, , , , ,
Posted on Friday, December 14th, 2007 at 2:21 pm In
Candlesticks  

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.

 

Disclaimer "Teach-Talk-trade": Readers are advised that this site is issued solely for informational purposes and the education of traders and investors. Neither the information presented nor any statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly constitutes a representation by the publisher nor a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities. Neither "Teach-Talk-trade" nor Steve Karnish or Mike Rocheleau is registered as an investment advisor. The information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data. The owner, publisher, editor and their associates are not responsible for errors and omissions. They may from time to time have a position in the securities mentioned herein and may increase or decrease such positions without notice. Any opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. "Teach-Talk-Trade" encourages readers and investors to supplement the information at this site with independent research and other professional advice. You can lose all or part of your initial investment. Never risk money that you can't afford to lose when trading securities.